ORLANDO
MAGICORL
38-28 | Road
112
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
36-31 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
HAWKS
100%
MAGIC
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
16.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
ATL By 1-7 points
5.8%
ATL By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
128
ORLANDO
Atlanta
114
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.5
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+9.7% more
Orlando: 14.5
vs
Atlanta: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Orlando: 83.1%
vs
Atlanta: 75.2%
Steals (L5)
+24.8% more
Atlanta: 10.3
vs
Orlando: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+23.1% more
Atlanta: 4.2
vs
Orlando: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
128.0
112
ATL Score
114.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 35.5
40.0 / 33.0
Assists
28.3 / 28.3
33.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 49.2
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 83.1
76.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
47.2 / 48.4
54.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.3 / 8.2
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 14.5
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
ORL
ATL
ORL
ML
50%
52-52
61%
65-42
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
ATS
53%
55-48-1
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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