UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
34-27-6 | Road
6
DALLAS
STARSDAL
42-14-10 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
MacKenzie Weegar
#52 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Weegar | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 5.11 | 0.762 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
5.11
--
Save %
0.762
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
STARS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
UTA @ DAL
6 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
DAL @ UTA
3 - 2
Jan 15, 2026
DAL @ UTA
1 - 2
Nov 28, 2025
UTA @ DAL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2025
UTA @ DAL
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.0% more
Dallas: 17.4
vs
Utah: 12.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.1% more
Dallas: 27.8
vs
Utah: 22.4
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
Dallas: 32.0%
vs
Utah: 24.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.2%
Dallas: 54.6%
vs
Utah: 50.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.0
6
DAL Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.4 / 12.4
16.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
54.6 / 50.4
49.0 / 51.0
Hits
20.3 / 25.8
26.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
32.0 / 24.4
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 22.4
30.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 6.1
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
UTA
DAL
UTA
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
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