CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
26-33-7 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
36-23-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.14 | 0.833 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.01 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.14
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
RED WINGS
100%
FLAMES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
CGY @ DET
2 - 5
Dec 10, 2025
DET @ CGY
4 - 3
Feb 1, 2025
DET @ CGY
3 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
CGY @ DET
1 - 2
Feb 17, 2024
DET @ CGY
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+23.3%
Calgary: 34.3%
vs
Detroit: 11.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.8% more
Calgary: 15.5
vs
Detroit: 12.0
Takeaways (L5)
+10.2% more
Detroit: 5.6
vs
Calgary: 5.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.1%
Detroit: 52.0%
vs
Calgary: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
2
DET Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 15.5
13.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 44.9
40.4 / 59.6
Hits
18.3 / 17.1
26.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
11.0 / 34.3
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 29.6
25.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CGY
DET
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3