Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Rangers LA @ NYR

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

27-24-15  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Mar 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

28-30-8  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 1.00 0.955 --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.05 0.880 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.05
0.955 Ldr Save % 0.880
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
KINGS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

LA By 1 goal

17.5%

LA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 16, 2026 LA @ NYR 4 - 1
Jan 20, 2026 NYR @ LA 3 - 4
Mar 25, 2025 NYR @ LA 1 - 3
Dec 14, 2024 LA @ NYR 5 - 1
Jan 20, 2024 NYR @ LA 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.0% more
Los Angeles: 26.7 vs New York: 20.1
Hits (L5) +17.3% more
Los Angeles: 23.7 vs New York: 19.6
Takeaways (L5) +8.5% more
New York: 4.2 vs Los Angeles: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5) +6.7%
New York: 52.0% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.0 4
NYR Score 1.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.7 / 14.7 12.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 52.0 / 45.3 53.3 / 46.7
Hits 19.6 / 23.7 20.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 20.0 / 16.5 50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 20.1 / 26.7 22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 3.9 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
LA
NYR
LA
ML
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
ATS
80% 4-1
100% 3-0
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
TTL
60% 3-2
0% 0-3
60% 3-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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