Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Kings UTAH @ SAC

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

20-47  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sun, Mar 15 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

17-51  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
JAZZ --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Sacramento)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

38.2%

Kings Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

10.7%

SAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

SAC By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
124
UTAH
127
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
112
UTAH
120
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.5 Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim u230.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 15, 2026 UTAH @ SAC 111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026 SAC @ UTAH 93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025 SAC @ UTAH 119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025 UTAH @ SAC 104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025 SAC @ UTAH 118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.9% more
Sacramento: 5.1 vs Utah: 3.7
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Sacramento: 45.5 vs Utah: 41.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Sacramento: 52.4% vs Utah: 45.6%
Steals (L5) +28.1% more
Utah: 10.9 vs Sacramento: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 124.0 111
SAC Score 127.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 40.1 31.0 / 33.0
Assists 27.0 / 27.8 28.0 / 22.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.7 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 52.4 / 45.6 48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 81.3 82.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 45.5 / 41.3 50.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.8 / 10.9 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 15.6 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
ML
55% 55-45
60% 96-63
61% 50-32
48% 40-43
ATS
54% 52-45-3
68% 108-51
61% 50-32
48% 40-43
TTL
58% 57-42-1
75% 119-39-1
100% 82-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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