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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

36-27-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Mar 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

36-19-10  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Jacob Fowler
GOALTENDER

Jacob Fowler

#32 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.00 0.900 --
Jacob Fowler None-None 4.13 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.13
0.900 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
DUCKS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

ANA By 1 goal

12.1%

ANA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 15, 2026 ANA @ MTL 4 - 3
Mar 6, 2026 MTL @ ANA 5 - 6
Feb 2, 2025 MTL @ ANA 2 - 3
Dec 9, 2024 ANA @ MTL 2 - 3
Feb 13, 2024 ANA @ MTL 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +16.1% more
Montreal: 23.2 vs Anaheim: 20.0
Power Play % (L5) +9.5%
Montreal: 31.0% vs Anaheim: 21.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +8.7%
Montreal: 56.1% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.1% more
Anaheim: 29.2 vs Montreal: 26.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 4
MTL Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.7 / 14.6 20.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 56.1 / 47.4 52.6 / 47.4
Hits 23.2 / 20.0 14.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 3098.0 / 2150.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.2 / 29.2 30.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.0 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
81%MONEY19%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
ANA
MTL
ANA
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 53 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 5 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
yourvalley_net 2 days, 1 hour ago