Home / NBA Projections NBA / Trail Blazers @ 76ers POR @ PHI

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

32-35  |  Road

103
FINAL
Sun, Mar 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

36-31  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

30.9%

76ers Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

POR By 1-7 points

27.2%

POR By 8-14 points

23.0%

PHI By 1-7 points

18.6%

PHI By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
117
PORTLAND
112
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
118
PORTLAND
106
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.0 Loss
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim u228.0 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 15, 2026 POR @ PHI 103 - 109
Feb 9, 2026 PHI @ POR 118 - 135
Mar 3, 2025 POR @ PHI 119 - 102
Dec 30, 2024 PHI @ POR 125 - 103
Jan 29, 2024 PHI @ POR 104 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +23.0% more
Portland: 19.0 vs Philadelphia: 14.6
Assists (L5) +18.9% more
Portland: 27.8 vs Philadelphia: 22.6
Blocks (L5) +17.6% more
Portland: 8.8 vs Philadelphia: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Portland: 35.6% vs Philadelphia: 23.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 117.0 103
PHI Score 112.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.7 / 35.6 28.0 / 32.0
Assists 22.6 / 27.8 17.0 / 26.0
Blocks 7.2 / 8.8 4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 47.2 45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 80.7 93.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 46.7 51.0 / 49.0
Steals 10.7 / 10.7 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 19.0 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
POR
PHI
POR
ML
63% 69-40
53% 56-49
48% 45-48
55% 49-40
ATS
65% 71-38
62% 65-39-1
48% 45-48
55% 49-40
TTL
55% 60-49
56% 58-46-1
100% 93-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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