SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
32-26-6 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
33-23-9 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dmitry Orlov
#9 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitry Orlov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 4.00 | 0.826 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.00
--
Save %
0.826
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
SENATORS
0%
SHARKS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
SJ @ OTT
4 - 7
Nov 22, 2025
OTT @ SJ
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2025
SJ @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 27, 2024
OTT @ SJ
4 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
OTT @ SJ
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.3% more
Ottawa: 6.5
vs
San Jose: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+13.7%
Ottawa: 22.5%
vs
San Jose: 8.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Ottawa: 28.0
vs
San Jose: 25.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.2%
Ottawa: 51.5%
vs
San Jose: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
4
OTT Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 15.8
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 44.3
59.3 / 40.7
Hits
24.9 / 24.5
30.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
22.5 / 8.8
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 25.7
24.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 4.6
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
SJ
OTT
SJ
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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