SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
16-51 | Road
118
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
34-32 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
106
SACRAMENTO
LA
107
LA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
116
SACRAMENTO
LA
125
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.7% more
LA: 10.9
vs
Sacramento: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+18.8% more
LA: 6.6
vs
Sacramento: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
LA: 36.7%
vs
Sacramento: 31.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
LA: 51.7%
vs
Sacramento: 49.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
106.0
118
LAC Score
107.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 31.9
33.0 / 44.0
Assists
27.1 / 26.0
19.0 / 29.0
Blocks
6.6 / 5.6
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 49.0
46.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
80.4 / 81.0
76.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 44.3
35.0 / 48.0
Steals
10.9 / 7.3
13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 11.2
13.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SAC
LAC
SAC
ML
60%
59-40
55%
55-45
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
ATS
66%
65-33-1
54%
52-45-3
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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