PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
17-17 | Road
72
SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
17-16 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
JAGUARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SOU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)
PV By 1-7 points
6.8%
PV By 8-14 points
1.7%
SOU By 1-7 points
18.6%
SOU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
73
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Southern
86
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
68
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Southern
72
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
PV @ SOU
72 - 66
Feb 14, 2026
SOU @ PV
87 - 82
Jan 5, 2026
PV @ SOU
89 - 85
Feb 15, 2025
PV @ SOU
60 - 72
Jan 6, 2025
SOU @ PV
84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+73.7% more
Southern: 8.3
vs
Prairie View A&M: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+41.5% more
Southern: 17.6
vs
Prairie View A&M: 12.4
Turnovers (L5)
+18.6% more
Southern: 11.1
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Southern: 43.2%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
73.0
72
SOU Score
86.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.2 / 33.2
26.0 / 50.0
Assists
17.6 / 12.4
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.4
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 46.3
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
63.4 / 69.6
79.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 36.1
40.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.3 / 4.8
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.4
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
PV
SOU
PV
ML
67%
22-11
59%
20-14
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
ATS
64%
21-12
56%
19-15
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
TTL
42%
14-19
50%
17-17
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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