Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bison NCCU @ HOW

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

14-17  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Norfolk Scope Arena
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

22-10  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BISON
0%
EAGLES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Howard)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

24.2%

Bison Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

NCCU By 1-7 points

15.3%

NCCU By 8-14 points

5.8%

HOW By 1-7 points

26.2%

HOW By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
77
HOWARD
Simulated Score
65
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
68
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 63 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 67 - 100
Jan 17, 2026 HOW @ NCCU 83 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 HOW @ NCCU 68 - 72
Feb 8, 2025 NCCU @ HOW 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +56.5% more
Howard: 17.5 vs North Carolina Central: 11.2
Turnovers (L5) +36.3% more
Howard: 14.3 vs North Carolina Central: 10.5
Blocks (L5) +20.9% more
Howard: 4.3 vs North Carolina Central: 3.5
Rebounding (L5) +20.5% more
Howard: 37.2 vs North Carolina Central: 30.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 70.0 63
HOW Score 77.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 30.0 26.0 / 30.0
Assists 17.5 / 11.2 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.5 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 44.4 37.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 70.2 77.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 30.9 38.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.5 / 9.3 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 10.5 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
NCCU
HOW
NCCU
ML
59% 20-14
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
81% 22-5
ATS
59% 20-14
71% 22-9
71% 22-9
81% 22-5
TTL
62% 21-13
55% 17-14
100% 31-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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