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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

26-32-7  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

37-24-5  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 9.62 0.700 --
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
9.62 GAA --
0.700 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
FLAMES --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Calgary)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

84.1%

Islanders Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CGY By 1 goal

17.5%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CGY @ NYI 2 - 3
Jan 17, 2026 NYI @ CGY 2 - 4
Mar 22, 2025 CGY @ NYI 4 - 3
Nov 19, 2024 NYI @ CGY 1 - 2
Feb 10, 2024 CGY @ NYI 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +30.7%
Calgary: 34.3% vs New York: 3.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.3% more
Calgary: 29.6 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.6% more
Calgary: 15.5 vs New York: 12.3
Faceoff % (L5) +13.0%
New York: 57.9% vs Calgary: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 2
NYI Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
69%MONEY31%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CGY
NYI
CGY
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
67% 2-1-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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