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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

27-30-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 6:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

38-16-12  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.00 0.958 --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 4.19 0.778 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 4.19
0.958 Ldr Save % 0.778
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
WILD
0%
RANGERS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Wild Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 NYR @ MIN 4 - 2
Oct 20, 2025 MIN @ NYR 3 - 1
Apr 2, 2025 MIN @ NYR 4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025 NYR @ MIN 3 - 2
Nov 9, 2023 MIN @ NYR 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +59.3% more
Minnesota: 32.0 vs New York: 20.1
Power Play % (L5) +23.4%
Minnesota: 43.5% vs New York: 20.0%
Hits (L5) +10.3% more
Minnesota: 25.2 vs New York: 22.9
Takeaways (L5) +10.5% more
New York: 5.4 vs Minnesota: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 4
MIN Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NYR
MIN
NYR
ML
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
ATS
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
TTL
100% 3-0
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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