WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
16-49 | Road
100
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
43-23 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
WSH By 1-7 points
24.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
13.7%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
123
WASHINGTON
Boston
124
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
Boston
120
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+20)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Boston: 45.7
vs
Washington: 41.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.5%
Boston: 85.1%
vs
Washington: 79.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+33.9% more
Washington: 17.5
vs
Boston: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+24.7% more
Washington: 5.7
vs
Boston: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
123.0
100
BOS Score
124.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.5
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
24.3 / 24.8
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 47.5
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
85.1 / 79.7
89.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 41.9
55.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 17.5
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
WSH
BOS
WSH
ML
57%
61-46
70%
112-49
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
69%
111-49-1
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
TTL
56%
60-47
74%
119-41-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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