PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
16-11 | Road
62
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
17-11 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
QUAKERS
100%
CRIMSON
0%
QUAKERS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
PENN By 1-7 points
23.0%
PENN By 8-14 points
12.2%
HARV By 1-7 points
26.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pennsylvania
69
PENNSYLVANIA
Harvard
71
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Pennsylvania
70
PENNSYLVANIA
Harvard
73
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
PENN @ HARV
62 - 60
Feb 28, 2026
HARV @ PENN
61 - 64
Jan 19, 2026
PENN @ HARV
63 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
HARV @ PENN
79 - 78
Jan 20, 2025
PENN @ HARV
82 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+105.4% more
Harvard: 4.2
vs
Pennsylvania: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+22.2% more
Harvard: 14.8
vs
Pennsylvania: 12.1
Turnovers (L5)
+14.2% more
Harvard: 12.0
vs
Pennsylvania: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.9%
Harvard: 79.0%
vs
Pennsylvania: 67.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PENN Score
69.0
62
HARV Score
71.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 37.2
26.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.8 / 12.1
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 43.5
40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 67.1
100.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 37.6
44.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.1 / 11.0
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 10.5
17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PENN
--
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PENN
--
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PENN
--
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
PENN
HARV
PENN
ML
45%
13-16
53%
16-14
52%
15-14
76%
22-7
ATS
45%
13-16
63%
19-11
52%
15-14
76%
22-7
TTL
41%
12-17
70%
21-9
100%
29-0
100%
29-0
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