Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blackhawks @ Golden Knights CHI @ VGK

CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

25-29-11  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

30-22-14  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Spencer Knight
GOALTENDER

Spencer Knight

#30 | Goaltender
@
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Spencer Knight None-None 4.00 0.875 --
Adin Hill None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.875 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BLACKHAWKS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Vegas)
BlackhawksCHI (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

2.3%

Golden Knights Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

CHI By 1 goal

0.9%

CHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

VGK By 1 goal

6.6%

VGK By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CHICAGO
5
VEGAS
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
2
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blackhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Knights (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blackhawks (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 CHI @ VGK 2 - 5
Mar 14, 2026 CHI @ VGK 0 - 4
Jan 4, 2026 VGK @ CHI 2 - 3
Dec 2, 2025 CHI @ VGK 3 - 4
Mar 28, 2025 VGK @ CHI 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +58.1% more
Vegas: 24.8 vs Chicago: 15.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.0% more
Vegas: 26.9 vs Chicago: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +21.6% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Chicago: 11.9
Power Play % (L5) +16.8%
Vegas: 22.6% vs Chicago: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 1.0 0
VGK Score 5.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
51%MONEY49%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CHI
VGK
CHI
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 56 minutes ago
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
nbcsports 1 day, 6 hours ago
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
chicago_suntimes 1 day, 18 hours ago
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
mymotherlode 1 day, 18 hours ago