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CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

18-15  |  Road

63
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 11:30 PM ET
Lee's Family Forum
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HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

22-8  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
TITANS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Hawai'i)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

27.4%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

CSUF By 1-7 points

16.9%

CSUF By 8-14 points

6.8%

HAW By 1-7 points

26.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
CAL STATE FULLERTON
70
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
65
CAL STATE FULLERTON
72
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 CSUF @ HAW 63 - 78
Feb 28, 2026 HAW @ CSUF 87 - 85
Dec 6, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 59 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 57 - 82
Jan 11, 2025 HAW @ CSUF 95 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.6% more
Hawai'i: 3.5 vs Cal State Fullerton: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Hawai'i: 47.9% vs Cal State Fullerton: 42.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Hawai'i: 75.6% vs Cal State Fullerton: 73.2%
Assists (L5) +26.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 14.9 vs Hawai'i: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 64.0 63
HAW Score 70.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 32.4 14.0 / 31.0
Assists 10.9 / 14.9 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 42.7 41.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 73.2 96.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 40.1 53.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.9 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.3 17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
CSUF
HAW
CSUF
ML
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
ATS
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
TTL
61% 20-13
59% 20-14
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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