UTAH TECH
TRAILBLAZERSUTU
19-14 | Road
72
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
23-8 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
LANCERS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
LANCERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)
UTU By 1-7 points
26.2%
UTU By 8-14 points
25.3%
CBU By 1-7 points
15.3%
CBU By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
75
UTAH TECH
California Baptist
68
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
70
UTAH TECH
California Baptist
75
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trailblazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lancers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lancers (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Lancers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTU @ CBU
72 - 86
Feb 14, 2026
CBU @ UTU
65 - 70
Jan 21, 2026
UTU @ CBU
64 - 73
Jan 8, 2026
UTU @ CBU
72 - 84
Mar 1, 2025
CBU @ UTU
61 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.8% more
Utah Tech: 17.5
vs
California Baptist: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+16.2% more
Utah Tech: 5.9
vs
California Baptist: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.9%
Utah Tech: 79.1%
vs
California Baptist: 68.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Utah Tech: 12.9
vs
California Baptist: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
75.0
72
CBU Score
68.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 41.3
53.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.7 / 17.5
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.6
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 49.9
50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 79.1
81.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 31.7
37.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.9
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 12.9
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
CBU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
CBU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBU
UTU
CBU
UTU
ML
50%
17-17
68%
23-11
76%
25-8
62%
21-13
ATS
53%
18-16
65%
22-12
76%
25-8
62%
21-13
TTL
47%
16-18
65%
22-12
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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