CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
MATADORSCSUN
20-13 | Road
78
UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
22-10 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
MATADORS
100%
ANTEATERS
0%
MATADORS
--
ANTEATERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
CSUN By 1-7 points
24.3%
CSUN By 8-14 points
13.7%
UCI By 1-7 points
26.2%
UCI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Northridge
68
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
UC Irvine
69
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
Cal State Northridge
65
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
UC Irvine
78
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
CSUN @ UCI
78 - 93
Feb 26, 2026
UCI @ CSUN
68 - 67
Dec 6, 2025
CSUN @ UCI
71 - 85
Feb 20, 2025
CSUN @ UCI
84 - 72
Jan 9, 2025
UCI @ CSUN
77 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.7% more
UC Irvine: 8.2
vs
Cal State Northridge: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
UC Irvine: 5.1
vs
Cal State Northridge: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
UC Irvine: 33.6%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 26.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
UC Irvine: 49.2%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUN Score
68.0
78
UCI Score
69.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 26.4
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
15.8 / 16.5
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 44.9
52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 75.7
77.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 41.9
44.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.8
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUN
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
UCI
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUN
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +2.4
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
CSUN
UCI
CSUN
ML
57%
20-15
58%
19-14
53%
18-16
67%
22-11
ATS
63%
22-13
58%
19-14
53%
18-16
67%
22-11
TTL
57%
20-15
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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