Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hoyas @ Huskies GTWN @ CONN

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

16-17  |  Road

51
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

28-4  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
HOYAS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (UConn)
HoyasGTWN (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hoyas Cover

1.1%

Huskies Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

GTWN By 1-7 points

0.8%

GTWN By 8-14 points

0.1%

CONN By 1-7 points

4.8%

CONN By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
62
GEORGETOWN
85
UCONN
Simulated Score
65
GEORGETOWN
82
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 GTWN @ CONN 51 - 67
Feb 14, 2026 GTWN @ CONN 75 - 79
Jan 17, 2026 CONN @ GTWN 64 - 62
Feb 26, 2025 GTWN @ CONN 79 - 93
Jan 11, 2025 CONN @ GTWN 68 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.1% more
UConn: 4.6 vs Georgetown: 2.6
Steals (L5) +23.1% more
UConn: 6.8 vs Georgetown: 5.5
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
UConn: 18.0 vs Georgetown: 15.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
UConn: 81.7% vs Georgetown: 75.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score 62.0 51
CONN Score 85.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 32.1 32.0 / 13.0
Assists 18.0 / 15.4 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.6 / 2.6 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 47.0 47.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 81.7 / 75.7 75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 37.1 34.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.5 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 12.6 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN Advantage
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
GTWN
CONN
GTWN
ML
76% 29-9
67% 22-11
66% 23-12
73% 22-8
ATS
74% 28-10
58% 19-14
66% 23-12
73% 22-8
TTL
50% 19-19
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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