Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaguars @ Rattlers SOU @ FAMU

SOUTHERN

JAGUARSSOU

16-16  |  Road

73
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 8:30 PM ET
Gateway Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

15-15  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
RATTLERS
100%
JAGUARS --
RATTLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Southern)
JaguarsSOU (-3.5) 0 RattlersFAMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

69.1%

Rattlers Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SOU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)

SOU By 1-7 points

27.2%

SOU By 8-14 points

23.0%

FAMU By 1-7 points

18.6%

FAMU By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
SOUTHERN
69
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
71
SOUTHERN
62
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaguars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Jaguars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 SOU @ FAMU 73 - 70
Feb 26, 2026 FAMU @ SOU 82 - 71
Jan 10, 2026 SOU @ FAMU 59 - 67
Mar 3, 2025 SOU @ FAMU 73 - 70
Jan 11, 2025 FAMU @ SOU 57 - 91
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +22.7%
Southern: 51.3% vs Florida A&M: 28.6%
Assists (L5) +18.5% more
Southern: 16.3 vs Florida A&M: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Southern: 49.4% vs Florida A&M: 42.7%
Steals (L5) +84.6% more
Florida A&M: 10.9 vs Southern: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SOU Score 74.0 73
FAMU Score 69.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 51.3 38.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.3 / 16.3 14.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.0 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 49.4 46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 79.0 / 70.0 90.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 33.4 34.0 / 36.0
Steals 10.9 / 5.9 8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 10.7 18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
FAMU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +4.7
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
SOU
FAMU
SOU
ML
55% 16-13
67% 22-11
71% 17-7
70% 21-9
ATS
48% 14-15
64% 21-12
71% 17-7
70% 21-9
TTL
76% 22-7
42% 14-19
100% 24-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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