Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Flashes @ Zips KENT @ AKR

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

24-8  |  Road

68
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

AKRON

ZIPSAKR

27-5  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
ZIPS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
ZIPS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Akron)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 ZipsAKR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

46.0%

Zips Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)

KENT By 1-7 points

24.3%

KENT By 8-14 points

13.7%

AKR By 1-7 points

26.2%

AKR By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
80
KENT STATE
81
AKRON
Simulated Score
68
KENT STATE
72
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Zips Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Zips Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Zips (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Zips (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 KENT @ AKR 68 - 75
Feb 27, 2026 AKR @ KENT 92 - 70
Jan 30, 2026 KENT @ AKR 52 - 69
Feb 28, 2025 KENT @ AKR 72 - 77
Jan 31, 2025 AKR @ KENT 85 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.8% more
Akron: 11.9 vs Kent State: 9.7
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Akron: 38.5 vs Kent State: 34.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Akron: 50.9% vs Kent State: 46.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Akron: 43.1% vs Kent State: 38.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 80.0 68
AKR Score 81.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.1 / 38.6 33.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.3 / 16.2 11.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.0 / 2.4 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 46.4 44.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 69.4 63.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 34.9 38.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.2 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 9.7 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
AKR Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
AKR Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
KENT
AKR
KENT
ML
71% 24-10
53% 18-16
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
ATS
76% 26-8
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
TTL
59% 20-14
44% 15-19
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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