UTAH
JAZZUTAH
20-46 | Road
114
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
31-35 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
JAZZ
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
UTAH By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
10.7%
POR By 1-7 points
27.2%
POR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
123
UTAH
Portland
126
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Utah
112
UTAH
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o235.5
Win
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+78.3% more
Portland: 7.1
vs
Utah: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+14.9% more
Portland: 16.5
vs
Utah: 14.3
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
Utah: 27.7
vs
Portland: 24.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Utah: 83.4%
vs
Portland: 74.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
123.0
114
POR Score
126.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.6
37.0 / 43.0
Assists
24.7 / 27.7
34.0 / 28.0
Blocks
7.1 / 4.0
12.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 45.4
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 83.4
94.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 43.9
49.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.4
16.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 14.3
24.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
UTAH
POR
UTAH
ML
53%
56-49
60%
96-63
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
68%
108-51
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
89-0
100%
83-0
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