NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
42-25 | Road
101
INDIANA
PACERSIND
15-51 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
PACERS
0%
KNICKS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
NY By 1-7 points
16.9%
NY By 8-14 points
6.8%
IND By 1-7 points
26.8%
IND By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
114
NEW YORK
Indiana
120
INDIANA
Simulated Score
New York
112
NEW YORK
Indiana
118
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pacers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
IND @ NY
110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026
NY @ IND
101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026
IND @ NY
137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025
NY @ IND
114 - 113
May 31, 2025
NY @ IND
108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.1% more
Indiana: 3.9
vs
New York: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+16.4% more
New York: 47.4
vs
Indiana: 39.6
Assists (L5)
+16.3% more
New York: 32.6
vs
Indiana: 27.3
Steals (L5)
+11.1% more
New York: 8.2
vs
Indiana: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
114.0
101
IND Score
120.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 37.0
26.0 / 29.0
Assists
27.3 / 32.6
21.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 50.1
39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
81.2 / 83.5
80.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 47.4
46.0 / 53.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.2
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.2
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48%
47-50
61%
114-72
54%
45-38
56%
57-45
ATS
59%
57-40
67%
124-62
54%
45-38
56%
57-45
TTL
54%
52-45
72%
133-53
100%
83-0
100%
102-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…