MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
23-42 | Road
110
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
47-18 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
PISTONS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MEM By 1-7 points
13.7%
MEM By 8-14 points
4.8%
DET By 1-7 points
25.3%
DET By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
113
MEMPHIS
Detroit
121
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Memphis
114
MEMPHIS
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.5
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
MEM @ DET
110 - 126
Nov 3, 2025
DET @ MEM
114 - 106
Oct 6, 2025
DET @ MEM
128 - 112
Apr 5, 2025
MEM @ DET
109 - 103
Nov 27, 2024
DET @ MEM
111 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Detroit: 6.6
vs
Memphis: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+17.1% more
Detroit: 31.1
vs
Memphis: 26.6
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
Detroit: 9.8
vs
Memphis: 8.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.5%
Detroit: 82.8%
vs
Memphis: 77.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
113.0
110
DET Score
121.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 36.2
34.0 / 37.0
Assists
31.1 / 26.6
36.0 / 20.0
Blocks
6.6 / 5.3
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 45.4
54.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
82.8 / 77.3
78.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 38.5
52.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.8 / 8.8
12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 14.5
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MEM
DET
MEM
ML
55%
64-53
57%
59-44
49%
47-49
50%
41-41
ATS
53%
60-54-3
63%
65-38
49%
47-49
50%
41-41
TTL
60%
70-46-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
96-0
100%
82-0
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