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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

32-26-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

26-29-10  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
Joel Hofer None-None 1.85 0.947 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.85
-- Save % 0.947
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
BLUES
100%
OILERS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

97.7%

Blues Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

STL By 1 goal

0.9%

STL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
EDMONTON
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Jan 18, 2026 STL @ EDM 0 - 5
Nov 3, 2025 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Apr 9, 2025 STL @ EDM 3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 EDM @ STL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.8% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs St. Louis: 26.3
Hits (L5) +21.4% more
Edmonton: 22.8 vs St. Louis: 17.9
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Edmonton: 54.1% vs St. Louis: 47.5%
Takeaways (L5) +19.1% more
St. Louis: 4.4 vs Edmonton: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 5.0 2
STL Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
EDM
STL
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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