PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
24-8 | Road
74
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
26-5 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
BOILERMAKERS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
100%
BOILERMAKERS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
PUR By 1-7 points
26.8%
PUR By 8-14 points
18.6%
NEB By 1-7 points
23.0%
NEB By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue
77
PURDUE
Nebraska
75
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Purdue
62
PURDUE
Nebraska
75
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
PUR @ NEB
74 - 58
Feb 10, 2026
PUR @ NEB
80 - 77
Jan 12, 2025
NEB @ PUR
68 - 104
Jan 9, 2024
PUR @ NEB
72 - 88
Jan 13, 2023
NEB @ PUR
55 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.3% more
Purdue: 2.4
vs
Nebraska: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
Purdue: 21.3
vs
Nebraska: 16.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Purdue: 39.4%
vs
Nebraska: 32.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Purdue: 49.8%
vs
Nebraska: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PUR Score
77.0
74
NEB Score
75.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 39.4
32.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.9 / 21.3
15.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.4
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 49.8
39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 75.1
44.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 32.7
29.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.6 / 4.3
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 8.1
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUR
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
PUR
NEB
PUR
ML
51%
18-17
67%
26-13
62%
21-13
66%
25-13
ATS
54%
19-16
64%
25-14
62%
21-13
66%
25-13
TTL
63%
22-13
51%
20-19
100%
34-0
100%
38-0
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