SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
BULLDOGSSCST
10-21 | Road
61
HOWARD
BISONHOW
21-10 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BISON
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
SCST By 1-7 points
21.6%
SCST By 8-14 points
10.7%
HOW By 1-7 points
27.2%
HOW By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina State
74
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Howard
77
HOWARD
Simulated Score
South Carolina State
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Howard
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
SCST @ HOW
61 - 78
Feb 7, 2026
SCST @ HOW
57 - 85
Jan 3, 2026
HOW @ SCST
57 - 58
Mar 3, 2025
HOW @ SCST
69 - 79
Feb 3, 2025
SCST @ HOW
89 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.8% more
Howard: 19.2
vs
South Carolina State: 13.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.6% more
Howard: 36.8
vs
South Carolina State: 33.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.4%
Howard: 44.1%
vs
South Carolina State: 32.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Howard: 52.0%
vs
South Carolina State: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCST Score
74.0
61
HOW Score
77.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.1 / 32.7
25.0 / 38.0
Assists
19.2 / 13.1
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.9 / 6.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 44.6
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 73.3
74.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 33.0
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.1
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 14.0
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.6
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
SCST
HOW
SCST
ML
59%
20-14
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
74%
20-7
ATS
59%
20-14
68%
21-10
71%
22-9
74%
20-7
TTL
62%
21-13
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…