Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Islanders LA @ NYI

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

26-23-15  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Mar 13 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

37-23-5  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 2.01 0.913 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.12 0.889 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 Ldr GAA 3.12
0.913 Ldr Save % 0.889
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
KINGS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

84.1%

Islanders Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

LA By 1 goal

17.5%

LA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Kings (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 LA @ NYI 3 - 2
Mar 5, 2026 NYI @ LA 3 - 5
Mar 11, 2025 NYI @ LA 1 - 4
Dec 10, 2024 LA @ NYI 3 - 1
Mar 11, 2024 NYI @ LA 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.3% more
Los Angeles: 26.7 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.1% more
Los Angeles: 14.7 vs New York: 12.3
Power Play % (L5) +12.8%
Los Angeles: 16.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +12.6%
New York: 57.9% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.0 3
NYI Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
LA
NYI
LA
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
TTL
67% 2-1-1
0% 0-3
100% 3-0-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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