Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Trailblazers ACU @ UTU

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

14-18  |  Road

74
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 11:30 PM ET
Orleans Arena
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

18-14  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
WILDCATS --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah Tech)
WildcatsACU (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Trailblazers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

ACU By 1-7 points

24.3%

ACU By 8-14 points

13.7%

UTU By 1-7 points

26.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
73
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
74
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
75
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
65
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 ACU @ UTU 74 - 80
Feb 26, 2026 ACU @ UTU 81 - 85
Jan 29, 2026 UTU @ ACU 76 - 70
Jan 1, 2026 UTU @ ACU 79 - 64
Feb 22, 2025 UTU @ ACU 72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.5% more
Utah Tech: 14.3 vs Abilene Christian: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +13.0% more
Utah Tech: 33.5 vs Abilene Christian: 29.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.6%
Utah Tech: 38.4% vs Abilene Christian: 26.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Utah Tech: 76.6% vs Abilene Christian: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ACU Score 73.0 74
UTU Score 74.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 26.8 47.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.3 / 11.3 24.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.7 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 43.3 55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 72.0 84.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 29.7 28.0 / 28.0
Steals 4.9 / 8.0 8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 14.4 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
ACU
UTU
ACU
ML
68% 23-11
67% 22-11
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
ATS
65% 22-12
55% 18-15
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
TTL
65% 22-12
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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