WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
16-48 | Road
131
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
36-28 | Home
136
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
MAGIC
0%
WIZARDS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
WSH By 1-7 points
1.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
8.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
110
WASHINGTON
Orlando
130
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Washington
118
WASHINGTON
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-14)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Wizards (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o234.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WSH @ ORL
131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026
WSH @ ORL
109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026
ORL @ WSH
112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025
ORL @ WSH
125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025
ORL @ WSH
109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.0% more
Orlando: 8.0
vs
Washington: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+20.6% more
Orlando: 46.2
vs
Washington: 38.3
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
Orlando: 29.1
vs
Washington: 24.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Orlando: 78.5%
vs
Washington: 75.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
110.0
131
ORL Score
130.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 38.2
44.0 / 30.0
Assists
29.1 / 24.2
30.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.5
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 48.3
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 75.5
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 38.3
52.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.9
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 18.8
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
WSH
ORL
WSH
ML
61%
65-42
70%
112-49
56%
51-40
47%
39-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
69%
111-49-1
56%
51-40
47%
39-44
TTL
57%
61-46
74%
119-41-1
100%
91-0
100%
83-0
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