Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Pistons PHI @ DET

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

35-30  |  Road

109
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

46-18  |  Home

131
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
76ERS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Detroit)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

15.9%

Pistons Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

PHI By 1-7 points

10.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

3.3%

DET By 1-7 points

23.0%

DET By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
118
PHILADELPHIA
128
DETROIT
Simulated Score
104
PHILADELPHIA
122
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pistons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pistons (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Pistons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o222.5 Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim u222.5 Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 DET @ PHI 116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026 PHI @ DET 109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025 PHI @ DET 105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025 DET @ PHI 111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025 PHI @ DET 112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.5% more
Detroit: 6.4 vs Philadelphia: 4.7
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
Detroit: 28.2 vs Philadelphia: 24.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Detroit: 39.5% vs Philadelphia: 32.8%
Turnovers (L5) +19.2% more
Philadelphia: 14.4 vs Detroit: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 118.0 109
DET Score 128.0 131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 32.8 40.0 / 23.0
Assists 28.2 / 24.3 37.0 / 20.0
Blocks 6.4 / 4.7 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 48.5 54.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 76.3 95.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 40.4 40.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.8 / 10.0 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.4 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
55% 64-53
63% 69-40
49% 47-49
48% 45-48
ATS
53% 60-54-3
65% 71-38
49% 47-49
48% 45-48
TTL
60% 70-46-1
55% 60-49
100% 96-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 12 hours, 55 minutes ago
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
headtopics 18 hours, 55 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 1 day ago
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
yahoo 1 day ago