BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-48 | Road
97
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
34-31 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
HAWKS
0%
NETS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ATL By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
111
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
117
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.8% more
Atlanta: 9.6
vs
Brooklyn: 6.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.4% more
Atlanta: 45.5
vs
Brooklyn: 38.4
Assists (L5)
+16.8% more
Atlanta: 31.0
vs
Brooklyn: 26.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Atlanta: 51.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
111.0
97
ATL Score
117.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 37.7
30.0 / 34.0
Assists
31.0 / 26.5
22.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.4
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 45.8
39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 82.3
74.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
45.5 / 38.4
51.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.7
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 18.9
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
BKN
ATL
BKN
ML
50%
52-52
53%
50-45
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
ATS
53%
55-48-1
52%
48-44-3
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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