WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
16-16 | Road
82
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
22-9 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
BADGERS
100%
HUSKIES
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
WASH By 1-7 points
21.6%
WASH By 8-14 points
27.4%
WIS By 1-7 points
9.3%
WIS By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
82
WASHINGTON
Wisconsin
71
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Washington
68
WASHINGTON
Wisconsin
72
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WASH @ WIS
82 - 85
Feb 28, 2026
WIS @ WASH
90 - 73
Feb 25, 2025
WASH @ WIS
62 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.1% more
Washington: 3.4
vs
Wisconsin: 2.1
Turnovers (L5)
+31.1% more
Washington: 10.2
vs
Wisconsin: 7.0
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Washington: 37.1
vs
Wisconsin: 31.3
Steals (L5)
+13.2% more
Washington: 6.3
vs
Wisconsin: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
82.0
82
WIS Score
71.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 31.5
38.0 / 30.0
Assists
16.8 / 14.8
19.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 45.6
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
86.0 / 78.7
100.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 37.1
29.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.0 / 10.2
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
WIS
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
WASH
WIS
WASH
ML
60%
21-14
45%
15-18
69%
24-11
66%
21-11
ATS
51%
18-17
48%
16-17
69%
24-11
66%
21-11
TTL
57%
20-15
70%
23-10
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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