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LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

9-23  |  Road

59
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:30 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

19-12  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
RAMBLERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Davidson)
RamblersLUC (-3.5) 0 WildcatsDAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ramblers Cover

27.4%

Wildcats Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

LUC By 1-7 points

16.9%

LUC By 8-14 points

6.8%

DAV By 1-7 points

26.8%

DAV By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
74
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
71
LOYOLA CHICAGO
75
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 LUC @ DAV 59 - 64
Feb 6, 2026 LUC @ DAV 64 - 84
Jan 7, 2026 DAV @ LUC 79 - 64
Mar 5, 2025 DAV @ LUC 72 - 82
Feb 18, 2025 LUC @ DAV 77 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +23.3% more
Davidson: 3.8 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.1
Steals (L5) +19.0% more
Davidson: 5.3 vs Loyola Chicago: 4.4
Turnovers (L5) +32.8% more
Loyola Chicago: 12.9 vs Davidson: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5) +14.0%
Loyola Chicago: 74.3% vs Davidson: 60.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LUC Score 68.0 59
DAV Score 74.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 37.6 25.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.2 / 14.2 12.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.1 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 47.1 40.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 60.3 / 74.3 58.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 33.2 37.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.3 / 4.4 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 12.9 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
DAV Advantage
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
LUC
DAV
LUC
ML
64% 21-12
55% 18-15
58% 19-14
50% 16-16
ATS
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
58% 19-14
50% 16-16
TTL
52% 17-16
76% 25-8
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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