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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

25-29-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

41-17-6  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.01 0.969 --
Brandon Bussi None-None 2.07 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 2.07
0.969 Ldr Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
BLUES --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CAR By 1 goal

19.7%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ST. LOUIS
2
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 STL @ CAR 3 - 1
Jan 13, 2026 CAR @ STL 0 - 3
Nov 17, 2024 STL @ CAR 1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024 CAR @ STL 3 - 4
Apr 12, 2024 CAR @ STL 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +64.3% more
Carolina: 6.7 vs St. Louis: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.3% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs St. Louis: 26.3
Hits (L5) +16.0% more
Carolina: 20.8 vs St. Louis: 17.9
Faceoff % (L5) +5.6%
Carolina: 53.1% vs St. Louis: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 1.0 3
CAR Score 2.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
STL
CAR
STL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-4
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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