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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

26-30-8  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

26-27-10  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.00 0.885 --
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 5.12 0.688 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.12
0.885 Ldr Save % 0.688
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
JETS
0%
RANGERS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Jets Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

WPG By 1 goal

17.5%

WPG By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 WPG @ NYR 3 - 2
Mar 12, 2026 NYR @ WPG 6 - 3
Mar 11, 2025 NYR @ WPG 1 - 2
Nov 12, 2024 WPG @ NYR 6 - 3
Mar 19, 2024 WPG @ NYR 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +42.3% more
Winnipeg: 28.6 vs New York: 20.1
Takeaways (L5) +18.1% more
New York: 5.0 vs Winnipeg: 4.1
Hits (L5) +16.3% more
New York: 22.3 vs Winnipeg: 18.7
Faceoff % (L5) +4.5%
New York: 52.0% vs Winnipeg: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 6
WPG Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
80%MONEY20%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
NYR
WPG
NYR
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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