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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

25-32-7  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

32-30-2  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
@
Jonas Siegenthaler
GOALTENDER

Jonas Siegenthaler

#71 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dustin Wolf None-None 4.00 0.875 --
Jonas Siegenthaler None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 GAA --
0.875 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
DEVILS
100%
FLAMES --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Devils Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
2
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
3
CALGARY
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 CGY @ NJ 5 - 4
Jan 19, 2026 NJ @ CGY 2 - 1
Mar 20, 2025 CGY @ NJ 5 - 3
Nov 1, 2024 NJ @ CGY 0 - 3
Feb 8, 2024 CGY @ NJ 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +27.1% more
Calgary: 20.8 vs New Jersey: 15.1
Power Play % (L5) +26.2%
Calgary: 34.3% vs New Jersey: 8.1%
Blocked Shots (L5) +14.2% more
Calgary: 15.5 vs New Jersey: 13.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.5% more
Calgary: 29.6 vs New Jersey: 26.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 5
NJ Score 2.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
CGY
NJ
CGY
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-2-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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