Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Golden Flashes OHIO @ KENT

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

15-16  |  Road

75
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 6:30 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

23-8  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
BOBCATS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Kent State)
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

30.9%

Golden Flashes Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

OHIO By 1-7 points

18.6%

OHIO By 8-14 points

8.0%

KENT By 1-7 points

27.2%

KENT By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
OHIO
75
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
68
OHIO
72
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 OHIO @ KENT 75 - 86
Jan 27, 2026 OHIO @ KENT 57 - 72
Feb 14, 2025 OHIO @ KENT 75 - 76
Jan 24, 2025 KENT @ OHIO 59 - 61
Feb 20, 2024 KENT @ OHIO 57 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +83.9% more
Kent State: 7.9 vs Ohio: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +59.4% more
Kent State: 12.0 vs Ohio: 7.5
Assists (L5) +17.3% more
Kent State: 16.2 vs Ohio: 13.8
Rebounding (L5) +11.8% more
Kent State: 36.3 vs Ohio: 32.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 70.0 75
KENT Score 75.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 33.5 35.0 / 23.0
Assists 16.2 / 13.8 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 44.8 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 72.9 72.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 32.5 32.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.9 / 4.3 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 7.5 5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
OHIO
KENT
OHIO
ML
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
65% 22-12
63% 19-11
ATS
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
65% 22-12
63% 19-11
TTL
44% 15-19
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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