CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
33-33 | Road
117
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
16-50 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
KINGS
100%
HORNETS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
CHA By 1-7 points
18.6%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.8%
SAC By 1-7 points
6.8%
SAC By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
125
CHARLOTTE
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Sacramento
125
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+14)
Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
SAC @ CHA
90 - 134
Mar 11, 2026
CHA @ SAC
117 - 109
Apr 4, 2025
SAC @ CHA
125 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHA @ SAC
88 - 130
Jan 10, 2024
SAC @ CHA
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+30.9% more
Charlotte: 14.1
vs
Sacramento: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Charlotte: 37.2%
vs
Sacramento: 31.8%
Assists (L5)
+11.1% more
Sacramento: 26.9
vs
Charlotte: 24.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Sacramento: 46.6%
vs
Charlotte: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
125.0
117
SAC Score
112.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 37.2
32.0 / 47.0
Assists
26.9 / 24.2
24.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.3
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 42.6
54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 79.8
79.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
48.9 / 47.6
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.0
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 14.1
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CHA
SAC
CHA
ML
55%
55-45
61%
60-39
61%
50-32
48%
40-44
ATS
54%
52-45-3
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
48%
40-44
TTL
58%
57-42-1
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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