RHODE ISLAND
RAMSURI
16-15 | Road
61
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
17-14 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
DUKES
0%
RAMS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Duquesne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
URI By 1-7 points
16.9%
URI By 8-14 points
6.8%
DUQ By 1-7 points
26.8%
DUQ By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Rhode Island
59
RHODE ISLAND
Duquesne
65
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
Rhode Island
71
RHODE ISLAND
Duquesne
78
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dukes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
URI @ DUQ
61 - 67
Mar 4, 2026
DUQ @ URI
52 - 64
Feb 1, 2026
URI @ DUQ
61 - 76
Dec 31, 2024
URI @ DUQ
55 - 67
Feb 3, 2024
DUQ @ URI
85 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Duquesne: 77.5%
vs
Rhode Island: 73.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Duquesne: 41.1%
vs
Rhode Island: 37.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Duquesne: 25.8%
vs
Rhode Island: 22.8%
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Rhode Island: 3.6
vs
Duquesne: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
URI Score
59.0
61
DUQ Score
65.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.8 / 22.8
29.0 / 56.0
Assists
11.1 / 11.4
10.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 37.8
37.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 73.2
56.0 / 29.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 31.5
39.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.6 / 9.2
7.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 14.2
1.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
DUQ
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
URI
DUQ
URI
ML
53%
17-15
62%
20-12
58%
18-13
59%
19-13
ATS
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
58%
18-13
59%
19-13
TTL
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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