BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
17-14 | Road
70
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
26-5 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
ZIPS
0%
BULLS
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
BUF By 1-7 points
10.7%
BUF By 8-14 points
3.3%
AKR By 1-7 points
23.0%
AKR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
Akron
82
AKRON
Simulated Score
Buffalo
68
BUFFALO
Akron
75
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
BUF @ AKR
70 - 73
Feb 24, 2026
BUF @ AKR
85 - 99
Jan 20, 2026
AKR @ BUF
82 - 63
Mar 7, 2025
BUF @ AKR
70 - 88
Jan 21, 2025
AKR @ BUF
90 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.6% more
Akron: 18.4
vs
Buffalo: 13.0
Rebounding (L5)
+34.3% more
Akron: 39.8
vs
Buffalo: 29.6
Steals (L5)
+31.9% more
Akron: 8.7
vs
Buffalo: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+17.5% more
Akron: 12.3
vs
Buffalo: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
72.0
70
AKR Score
82.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
48.2 / 38.5
33.0 / 37.0
Assists
18.4 / 13.0
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.1
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.3 / 48.0
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 74.5
61.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 29.6
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 10.5
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
BUF
AKR
BUF
ML
71%
24-10
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
45%
14-17
ATS
76%
26-8
55%
17-14
65%
22-12
45%
14-17
TTL
59%
20-14
48%
15-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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