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CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

15-16  |  Road

61
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 2:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

20-11  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
BLUEJAYS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Creighton)
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 PiratesHALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

72.6%

Pirates Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

CREI By 1-7 points

26.8%

CREI By 8-14 points

24.3%

HALL By 1-7 points

16.9%

HALL By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
CREIGHTON
66
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
70
CREIGHTON
72
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bluejays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bluejays (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 CREI @ HALL 61 - 72
Feb 7, 2026 HALL @ CREI 68 - 69
Jan 4, 2026 CREI @ HALL 54 - 56
Mar 4, 2025 CREI @ HALL 79 - 61
Jan 25, 2025 HALL @ CREI 54 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.2% more
Creighton: 15.7 vs Seton Hall: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.7%
Creighton: 35.9% vs Seton Hall: 24.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +10.8%
Creighton: 86.7% vs Seton Hall: 75.9%
Blocks (L5) +160.7% more
Seton Hall: 5.2 vs Creighton: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 72.0 61
HALL Score 66.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.2 / 35.9 40.0 / 24.0
Assists 12.1 / 15.7 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.2 / 2.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 42.4 41.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 86.7 77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 35.3 42.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.5 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 11.0 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
CREI
HALL
CREI
ML
41% 13-19
52% 17-16
60% 18-12
70% 21-9
ATS
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
60% 18-12
70% 21-9
TTL
53% 17-15
52% 17-16
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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