Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Revolutionaries @ Rams GW @ FOR

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

17-14  |  Road

66
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 11:30 AM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

17-14  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Fordham)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

18.4%

Rams Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)

GW By 1-7 points

12.2%

GW By 8-14 points

4.0%

FOR By 1-7 points

24.3%

FOR By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
GEORGE WASHINGTON
80
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 GW @ FOR 66 - 62
Jan 31, 2026 FOR @ GW 79 - 65
Mar 13, 2025 FOR @ GW 81 - 88
Mar 5, 2025 GW @ FOR 81 - 58
Jan 3, 2024 FOR @ GW 119 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
Fordham: 77.4% vs George Washington: 69.2%
Blocks (L5) +61.4% more
George Washington: 3.6 vs Fordham: 1.4
Steals (L5) +12.1% more
George Washington: 8.7 vs Fordham: 7.6
Turnovers (L5) +9.7% more
George Washington: 13.0 vs Fordham: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 71.0 66
FOR Score 80.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 33.1 29.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.0 / 15.2 10.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.4 / 3.6 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 43.5 46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 69.2 63.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 37.3 23.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.7 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 13.0 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
FOR
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
GW
FOR
GW
ML
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
ATS
59% 19-13
69% 24-11
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
TTL
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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