MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
16-15 | Road
87
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
31-0 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
MINUTEMEN
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
MASS By 1-7 points
26.2%
MASS By 8-14 points
25.3%
M-OH By 1-7 points
15.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Massachusetts
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Miami (OH)
71
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Massachusetts
72
MASSACHUSETTS
Miami (OH)
78
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Minutemen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
MASS @ M-OH
87 - 83
Feb 17, 2026
M-OH @ MASS
86 - 77
Jan 27, 2026
MASS @ M-OH
84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+28.3% more
Massachusetts: 16.5
vs
Miami (OH): 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Massachusetts: 12.2
vs
Miami (OH): 9.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
Massachusetts: 69.4%
vs
Miami (OH): 67.5%
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Miami (OH): 2.7
vs
Massachusetts: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MASS Score
78.0
87
M-OH Score
71.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 33.7
36.0 / 20.0
Assists
11.8 / 16.5
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 48.0
48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 69.4
72.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 36.4
24.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.6
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 12.2
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
MASS
M-OH
MASS
ML
45%
15-18
44%
14-18
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
ATS
61%
20-13
47%
15-17
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
20-13
56%
18-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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