TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
36-28 | Road
111
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
21-45 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
PELICANS
100%
RAPTORS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
26.8%
NO By 1-7 points
12.2%
NO By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
111
TORONTO
New Orleans
102
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Toronto
111
TORONTO
New Orleans
118
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pelicans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Pelicans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
NO @ TOR
106 - 119
Mar 11, 2026
TOR @ NO
111 - 122
Jan 27, 2025
NO @ TOR
104 - 113
Nov 27, 2024
TOR @ NO
119 - 93
Mar 5, 2024
NO @ TOR
139 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.2% more
New Orleans: 6.0
vs
Toronto: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+24.5% more
New Orleans: 44.9
vs
Toronto: 36.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
New Orleans: 82.6%
vs
Toronto: 77.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
111.0
111
NO Score
102.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 31.4
48.0 / 32.0
Assists
24.5 / 26.6
27.0 / 20.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.1
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 47.6
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 77.1
75.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 36.1
49.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.2 / 9.1
10.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 12.1
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
TOR
NO
TOR
ML
62%
98-61
55%
57-47
58%
48-35
55%
48-39
ATS
68%
107-51-1
61%
62-40-2
58%
48-35
55%
48-39
TTL
75%
119-40
60%
62-42
100%
83-0
100%
87-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up