Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Jazz NY @ UTAH

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

41-25  |  Road

134
FINAL
Wed, Mar 11 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

20-45  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
KNICKS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
252.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

21.2%

Jazz Cover

78.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

NY By 1-7 points

25.3%

NY By 8-14 points

26.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

13.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
130
NEW YORK
122
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+14) Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.0 Win
Proj Total: 252.0
D
Sim u230.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 NY @ UTAH 134 - 117
Dec 5, 2025 UTAH @ NY 112 - 146
Jan 1, 2025 UTAH @ NY 103 - 119
Nov 23, 2024 NY @ UTAH 106 - 121
Jan 30, 2024 UTAH @ NY 103 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +16.8% more
New York: 16.8 vs Utah: 14.0
Assists (L5) +12.5% more
New York: 30.4 vs Utah: 26.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
New York: 49.2% vs Utah: 44.1%
Blocks (L5) +58.1% more
Utah: 4.0 vs New York: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 130.0 134
UTAH Score 122.0 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 34.0 50.0 / 43.0
Assists 26.6 / 30.4 30.0 / 37.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.5 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 49.2 48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 85.7 / 77.8 79.0 / 95.0
Rebounding 46.8 / 48.6 38.0 / 45.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.3 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 16.8 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
NY
UTAH
NY
ML
60% 96-63
61% 114-72
48% 40-43
56% 57-45
ATS
68% 108-51
67% 124-62
48% 40-43
56% 57-45
TTL
75% 119-39-1
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 22 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 12 hours, 54 minutes ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 6 hours ago
Heat's Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo: Can Miami Make It …
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
Nuggets' Bench Sparks 117-106 Preseason Win Over Jazz, Led by Di…
si 1 day, 18 hours ago