CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
40-25 | Road
122
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
35-28 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
CAVALIERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CLE By 1-7 points
16.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
6.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
119
CLEVELAND
Orlando
125
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Win
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.4% more
Orlando: 9.0
vs
Cleveland: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
Orlando: 13.8
vs
Cleveland: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Orlando: 48.3
vs
Cleveland: 40.9
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
Orlando: 29.1
vs
Cleveland: 26.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
119.0
122
ORL Score
125.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 35.7
34.0 / 39.0
Assists
29.1 / 26.5
29.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.4 / 6.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 44.8
52.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 79.4
76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
48.3 / 40.9
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.0
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 11.4
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CLE
ORL
CLE
ML
61%
65-42
60%
69-46
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
67%
75-37-3
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
61-46
59%
68-47
100%
91-0
100%
99-0
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