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LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

8-23  |  Road

75
FINAL
Wed, Mar 11 • 2:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

15-16  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
📊
SPIDERS
0%
RAMBLERS --
SPIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Richmond)
RamblersLUC (-3.5) 0 SpidersRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ramblers Cover

8.1%

Spiders Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICH -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)

LUC By 1-7 points

5.8%

LUC By 8-14 points

1.4%

RICH By 1-7 points

16.9%

RICH By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
LOYOLA CHICAGO
68
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
72
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spiders (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Spiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 LUC @ RICH 75 - 67
Feb 28, 2026 RICH @ LUC 66 - 69
Feb 11, 2025 LUC @ RICH 87 - 80
Jan 9, 2024 RICH @ LUC 58 - 56
Feb 11, 2023 LUC @ RICH 71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.6% more
Richmond: 6.4 vs Loyola Chicago: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Richmond: 47.8% vs Loyola Chicago: 44.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Richmond: 38.8% vs Loyola Chicago: 36.9%
Blocks (L5) +33.8% more
Loyola Chicago: 4.1 vs Richmond: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LUC Score 54.0 75
RICH Score 68.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 36.9 28.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.8 / 14.2 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.1 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 44.2 39.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 74.0 75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 26.3 / 31.8 25.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.1 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 12.8 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
RICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
LUC
RICH
LUC
ML
53% 17-15
55% 18-15
56% 18-14
50% 16-16
ATS
44% 14-18
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
50% 16-16
TTL
56% 18-14
76% 25-8
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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