WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
18-13 | Road
70
UNLV
REBELSUNLV
16-15 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
REBELS
100%
COWBOYS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UNLV
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNLV +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNLV)
WYO By 1-7 points
26.2%
WYO By 8-14 points
16.9%
UNLV By 1-7 points
24.3%
UNLV By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
74
WYOMING
UNLV
73
UNLV
Simulated Score
Wyoming
68
WYOMING
UNLV
75
UNLV
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
WYO @ UNLV
70 - 73
Jan 6, 2026
UNLV @ WYO
66 - 98
Feb 8, 2025
UNLV @ WYO
68 - 57
Jan 21, 2025
WYO @ UNLV
63 - 61
Feb 27, 2024
UNLV @ WYO
75 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Wyoming: 81.2%
vs
UNLV: 72.4%
Blocks (L5)
+206.5% more
UNLV: 4.8
vs
Wyoming: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
UNLV: 6.5
vs
Wyoming: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
UNLV: 15.9
vs
Wyoming: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
74.0
70
UNLV Score
73.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.9 / 38.2
38.0 / 14.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.6
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.8 / 1.6
12.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 50.9
44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 81.2
61.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 31.8
36.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.5 / 4.9
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 10.3
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
UNLV
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
UNLV
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNLV
WYO
UNLV
WYO
ML
50%
17-17
52%
17-16
59%
20-14
70%
23-10
ATS
65%
22-12
64%
21-12
59%
20-14
70%
23-10
TTL
62%
21-13
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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